California gas prices remain above $6 a gallon, and state energy officials are warning that pump prices could rise further if fuel supply pressure worsens in the coming weeks.
As of Saturday, May 16, 2026, AAA listed California’s average regular gas price at $6.140 per gallon, far above the national average of $4.517. In the Bay Area, AAA showed regular gas averaging $6.315 in San Francisco, $6.205 in Oakland and $6.130 in San Jose.
California Gas Prices Stay Above $6
The latest figures show why drivers across California are closely watching fuel costs. For commuters, families and small businesses, even a small increase at the pump can quickly raise monthly expenses.
The concern is not only the current price. It is also whether California’s fuel supply can remain stable through the summer driving period.
Why Experts Warn Prices Could Rise
Siva Gunda, vice chair of the California Energy Commission, told a California Assembly oversight hearing on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, that the state could forecast gasoline and crude oil shipments with confidence through about mid-June. After that, fuel could become more expensive to secure.
UC Berkeley energy economist Severin Borenstein also warned that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed longer, crude oil prices could rise further and add pressure to gasoline prices. He said another major increase in crude oil could translate into higher pump prices for California drivers.
Refinery Closures Add Supply Pressure
California’s gasoline market is especially sensitive because the state uses a special fuel blend, has limited pipeline connections to other U.S. refining centers and relies heavily on in-state refineries and imports.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration has said California prices are usually higher because of taxes, environmental rules, special fuel requirements and the state’s isolated petroleum market. Those factors can make prices more volatile when refineries close, imports are delayed or global oil supply tightens.
What It Means for Bay Area Drivers
For now, $7 gas is a warning rather than a fixed outcome. But with Bay Area prices already above $6 in several metro areas, drivers may begin adjusting travel habits, combining errands, using public transportation or reconsidering discretionary trips.
The coming weeks will be important for California motorists. If supply remains steady, prices may stay near current levels. If global oil pressure or import costs rise, drivers could face another round of increases at the pump.
